Deep evidential Modeling

A fast and scalable way to estimate uncertainty in safety critical ML applications
Deep evidential modeling is a method for estimating uncertainty in deep neural networks that's accurate, robust and scalable.
Accurate

Calibrated uncertainties are achievable
Robust

Reveals when models predict on unseen data
Scalable

Unlike traditional uncertainty estimation methods this scales to billions of parameters
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In recent years, deep evidential modeling has emerged as a promising approach for estimating uncertainty in neural networks. This method, which is based on Bayesian modeling, allows for the incorporation of prior knowledge and the explicit quantification of uncertainty in the predictions made by neural networks. There are several reasons why we consider deep evidential modeling the best approach for estimating uncertainty in neural networks today.

First, deep evidential modeling is able to handle complex and high-dimensional data, which is increasingly common in many real-world applications of neural networks. This is particularly important for applications such as computer vision and natural language processing, which often involve large and complex datasets.

Second, deep evidential modeling is able to provide more accurate and robust predictions compared to other methods of uncertainty estimation. This is because the Bayesian approach used in deep evidential modeling allows for the incorporation of prior knowledge and the explicit quantification of uncertainty, which can help to improve the accuracy and reliability of predictions.

Third, deep evidential modeling is computationally efficient and scalable, which makes it well-suited for use in a wide range of applications. Unlike some other methods of uncertainty estimation, deep evidential modeling can be applied to large and complex datasets without significant computational overhead.

Overall, deep evidential modeling is in our point of view the best approach for estimating uncertainty in neural networks today due to its ability to handle complex and high-dimensional data, its ability to provide accurate and robust predictions, and its computational efficiency and scalability. These features make deep evidential modeling a valuable tool for many real-world applications of neural networks.

Dr. Michael Green
CEO, Co-Founder

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